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Last Week's Results: Spending to Win (1st), Night's Watch (1st), Prompt Response (7th), Holy Blade (1st)
A great result last week with two horses winning at double figure odds! I guess this reminds us that there is always value to be found and that the market isn't always correct. Great day of racing ahead with 3 Group ones...Mornington looks quite tricky and in general a tough day I feel but am happy to have a go at the following.
Randwick R4 no10 Egg Tart (win) BEST
This mare has come back off a short break in terrific form and was steaming to the line last start to finish 3rd behind Winx. She hasn't drawn all that well but it is a reasonably small field and the step up to 2000m is ideal. I really think this is her race to lose and I do think the $2.25 is value. I am confident she goes very close.
Randwick R8 no2 Big Duke (each way)
Whilst some might say Darren Weir doesn't go as well with his horses in Sydney, I feel he has this consistent galloper going into today's assignment very well. Having his 3rd up run at this track last start, he got too far back and I really loved his final 200m to the line. 4th up today he is going to appreciate the 2400m where he has never been out of the top 3 in five tries. I think he will get a great run from barrier 8 and the $10 is a good price in an open affair.
Randwick R7 no7 Unforgotten (each way)
The Group 1 Randwick mile handicap is always one to look forward to! To some people this mare is the second best horse in the country after Winx. Whilst I don't think that, I do feel that she is going to be extremely strong late if the race is run genuinely which it should be. She's been freshened up for this as her last start was over 1600m but she has had a nice trial where the jockey had a big grip on her. Hopefully she doesn't get too far back and if produced at the right time I expect her to go very close.
Good Luck if your having a bet and enjoy your weekend!